Australia’s two “Wunderwaffen” can’t both be magical: Hunter frigates and AUKUS subs
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Written by

Marcus Hellyer and Michael Shoebridge
August 29, 2026

The Grumpies return to SAA’s bunker deep in the Brindabella Hills. It’s time to take stock of the $9 billion spent so far on 3 Hunter frigates for Australia’s Navy, with $18 billion still to go. The right time to stop a bad project is now, before more years – and $18bn of scarce defence cash is wasted. The Hunters are meant to be the world’s best anti-sub hunting ships – but they still rely on what many other cheaper ships have: a single sub-hunting helicopter with dipping sonar and torpedoes, and they have to move slowly to be quiet when sub hunting. The weapon system has a common and enormous weakness. Australians are meant to be believe two pieces of contradictory magical thinking at the same time: 1. these 3 (yes, 3) Hunter frigates are the answer to finding and sinking any sub on the planet and so will keep our sea lanes safe. and 2. Australia’s future AUKUS subs are the oceans’ ‘apex predators’ and can’t be found by any adversary system on the planet – they can hunt surface ships at will and are invisible to anti-sub hunters (like, say the Hunter frigates)…..How lucky is the Australian military to have found two true WonderWeapons….?

The Grumpies also look at Australia’s counter drone strategy and achievements from the only real performance metric we have: hobbyist drones (and anyone else’s) that want to fly into and over Australia’s most important airbases can do so freely at will, unhindered by defensive measures that aren’t defence personnel closing the blinds…..

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