FEATURED ARTICLES
Retreat from Singapore: Richard Marles succeeds in getting all used subs from America. The new ones are rubbish.
by Marcus Hellyer and Michael Shoebridge | Jun 4, 2026
Retreat from Singapore: Richard Marles succeeds in | RSS.com In history, a retreat from Singapore can have hairs all over it, but Richard Marles has turned that around, as the Grumpy Strategists unpack the events. At Singapore's Shangri-La dialogue,...
At sea amid ships, cables & drones – policy announceables from Shangri-La
by Graeme Dobell | Jun 4, 2026
Maritime matters sailed through the heart of the Shangri-La dialogue, run by the International Institute for Strategic Studies, but the announceables were all at sea. Call it the horror-of-Hormuz effect: when normal ocean traffic is cut, normal life...
Submarine plan U-turns: why public trust on AUKUS is falling
by Michael Shoebridge | Jun 3, 2026
Black is white and up is down. There’s a reason Australians are losing trust in their government and in public officials, and it’s been on display in the unhappy land of submarines and our Defence department. In just a few weeks, we’ve had two major...
Hegseth’s Shangri-La: US allies – friends but freeloaders
by Graeme Dobell | Jun 1, 2026
Australia has just been touched by an old alliance habit—the kick from Washington for being a military freeloader. The free rider whack was one of only two references to Australia made by the US Secretary for War, Pete Hegseth, on stage at...
Defence Senate Estimates 2026: 13 questions for reluctant officials
by Marcus Hellyer and Michael Shoebridge | May 28, 2026
Strategic Analysis Australia is publishing a baker’s dozen sets of questions on the Defence portfolio that we’d like to know the answers to. Hopefully senators have similar interests and will seek some answers from traditionally reluctant Defence...
A decade of Collins subs mismanagement results in promotions all round, but alarm bells for AUKUS
by Michael Shoebridge | May 27, 2026
Speaking last week, Defence Minister Richard Marles called the Collins class submarines “Australia’s most important military platform”. So it’s more than disturbing to read the ANAO Audit report on the Defence leadership’s disastrous management of...
Australia’s Collins subs life extension scandal: 10 years of failure covered up until the Auditors came – & the UK’s 1st Sea Lord takes truth serum
by Marcus Hellyer and Michael Shoebridge | May 26, 2026
Australia's Collins subs life extension scandal: 1 | RSS.com Marcus and Michael go through the scandalous revelations about 10 years of failed planning on extending the operational life of the only submarines Australia has - the 6 Collins class -...
Defence Budget 2026-27: By the Numbers
by Marcus Hellyer | May 20, 2026
This post has an embedded version of Marcus Hellyer's Defence budget Powerpoint slides. The slides tell a disturbing story about Australian military priorities, and the consequences of slowly building a small fleet of expensive warships and...
Oz Budgets: the Unhappy meet the Disappointed. Big Defence numbers get small. And the cage fight in Beijing.
by Marcus Hellyer and Michael Shoebridge | May 18, 2026
Oz Budgets: the Unhappy meet the Disappointed. Big | RSS.com Michael and Marcus argue furiously over the merits and messages in the Albanese Govt budget versus Opposition leader Angus Taylor's response. Only one of them is right....Then Marcus...
Australia’s Defence budget 2026-27: The $14 billion disappearing act
by Marcus Hellyer | May 13, 2026
The 2026-27 Defence Portfolio Budget Statements (PBS) are a very strange document. In fact, we’ve never seen anything quite like it. There are a couple of reasons for that. The first is the paradox that in an age of increasing defence budgets,...
No Asian Century – instead, a century of multiple of Asias
by Graeme Dobell | May 12, 2026
The Australia in the Asian Century white paper zoomed across the Canberra policy radar with the appointment of Meghan Quinn as secretary of the Defence Department. Quinn was head of the secretariat that produced the 312-page Asian century report....
Australia’s 2026 National Defence Strategy – by the numbers you will know it
by Marcus Hellyer | May 6, 2026
The Albanese Government has released its second National Defence Strategy (NDS) along with a supporting Defence Integrated Investment Program (IIP). This follows the 2024 version. That was the first in a new approach to defence strategic policy...
Zen and the Art of Defence investment: big numbers for everyone – Episode 70
by Marcus Hellyer and Michael Shoebridge | May 1, 2026
Zen and the Art of Defence investment: big numbers | RSS.com A Zen temple helps Marcus seek balance between the contradictions in Australia's defence Strategy, while Michael struggles with a noisy kettle in the bunker. Australia's new Defence...
Bondi Royal Commission: Bell’s first test
by Michael Shoebridge | Apr 30, 2026
Royal Commissioner Virginia Bell faces her first test on Thursday with the reception of her interim report on the horrific Bondi shootings. It’ll have been a rushed effort to get the core information needed to deliver this first report by the April...
Is United States submarine production speeding up? Not according to US Navy data
by Marcus Hellyer | Apr 29, 2026
Unlike the Australian Department of Defence, the United States’ Department of Defense (or War, depending on where you stand in the whole culture wars thing) publishes real data that allows Congress and the public to assess the Department’s...
Behind the hoopla, the Government is leaving our military badly under-equipped in the drone era
by Michael Shoebridge | Apr 22, 2026
We’re meant to be celebrating the Albanese Government’s amazing new plan to adapt the Australian military to the drone era, with Minister Pat Conroy telling us yesterday about an apparent $7 billion the government is investing in counter drone...
Deterrence Without Resilience: Australia’s strategic risk gets real
by Chris Mills | Apr 21, 2026
Australia’s strategic environment has deteriorated faster than its defence posture has adapted. The issue is no longer simply whether Australia is spending enough on defence, it is whether it is investing in the capabilities required to withstand the...
Australia’s brand new, but old, Defence plan: a strategy of denial – that the world has changed
by Marcus Hellyer and Michael Shoebridge | Apr 17, 2026
The Grumpy Strategists cover Australia's new defen | RSS.com The Grumpy Strategists respond to Australia's defence minister, Richard Marles, discussing and releasing the 'new' 2026 Defence Strategy and investment plan. Marcus sees the spirit of Hiroo...
Australia’s National Defence Strategy: Canberra is yet to have its Carney moment
by Marcus Hellyer | Apr 17, 2026
There’s something very familiar about the Albanese government’s new 2026 National Defence Strategy, launched yesterday by Deputy Prime Minister and Defence Minister Richard Marles. It continues the trajectory first set out in the previous Coalition...
The 2026 National Defence Strategy & investment plan: The world has changed – but Australia’s defence plans haven’t
by Michael Shoebridge | Apr 16, 2026
Having read the 215 pages of the Australian Government's revised strategy and investment plan, two things stand out as particularly important. The first is the almost complete absence of engagement with the changed America that is now our major...
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