Trouble in the Navy’s material world is trouble for Australia’s security – & AUKUS

108 pages of damning revelations of Defence's mismanagement of its two biggest ships have implications across Defence and for AUKUS. Image: Defence and Canva.

Written by

Michael Shoebridge
July 03, 2025

The Navy is systematically failing to manage and maintain the two largest ships in its fleet – the 27,000 tonne LHD amphibious ships HMAS Canberra and HMAS Adelaide.  The scale of the troubles is laid out in a 108 page national audit office report, with almost every page revealing deeper levels of problems and dysfunction.

The problems aren’t restricted to this part of the Navy’s fleet. They have sobering implications for the whole Defence institution and for its capacity to manage AUKUS.

These amphibious ships’ problems have been growing and compounding since 2014, when Defence accepted the two ships from the builder, BAE Systems. Over the last ten years, Defence has shifted contractual responsibility between various companies and also moved responsibilities and authorities around inside its own bureaucracy. The results of all this shuffling and turbulence have been overwhelmingly poor. 

Total power failures on the big ships have happened while they were deployed on urgent disaster relief tasks twice – in Tonga in 2022 and Vanuatu in 2023. The poor material state of the ships has meant Navy chiefs were advised that there was between a 97 and 99 per cent chance of a system failure in a number of ‘mission critical systems’ during deployment of the ships.  Maintenance has been systematically deferred because of funding pressures, skills shortages, tasks left incomplete and the need to send the ships off somewhere.  The backlogs are creating a bow wave of work and expense over the remaining years of the ships’ naval service.

Budgets cash crunch means worse is ahead

More broadly, the Navy’s sustainment of its entire surface fleet is experiencing a cash crunch with budget pressures across Defence growing as the AUKUS and Hunter frigate demands for cash accelerate. 

The Navy estimated its urgent sustainment funding shortfall at $500 million over FY 2024-25 and FY 2025-26 and received a boost of $300 million, leaving it $200 million short over two years.  The funding crunch no doubt continues beyond this time despite Government protestations it’s funding the capabilities we need.

Flaws in the ships from the time they were constructed by BAE Systems have persisted, with remedial work incomplete when BAE was released by Defence from further contractual liabilities from the acquisition phase years after the ships were accepted into service. BAE promised in-kind contributions instead. 

Defence’s oversight and management of the $180 million annual budget for the ships has been deeply flawed for over a decade and shows no signs of improvement.  That’s got to be disturbing for taxpayers, because it looks like we’ll be putting $1.9 billion into the sustainment of these two ships over the period to 2033-34 according to Defence plans, and that’s likely to not be enough. 

The processes Defence does have to manage the ships and the major contractors doing most of the work are complex, overlapping but partial.  They are also disjointed and have not worked. Risks at the strategic level are managed in isolation of risks at the operational and technical levels. No surprise, as there is no clear line of sight between the risks in Defence’s high level sustainment framework for the ships and those being managed day to day. 

This is not all able to be laid at the feet of the Chief of Navy, because the byzantine organisational structures and overlapping roles of Defence’s now enormous senior leadership structure – military and public servant – mean no one is in control. 

I think the Chief of Navy should be responsible and accountable for the state of the Navy fleet and they should have sufficient authority to give effect to those responsibilities.

That can only happen with a radical simplification of the current Defence structure, starting with stripping back its top heavy senior leadership to something coherent, where a much smaller number of senior jobs have their responsibilities and authorities aligned to outcomes in the real world.

And Defence has failed to provide mandatory periodic reporting on the material state of key systems our military uses, including the amphibious ships, to its Ministers for two years. According to Defence, this was because they were busy developing the Defence Strategic Review and they informed the Minister ‘in conversations’. Not a great way to run a multi-billion dollar enterprise.

I have read many ANAO reports but this one is so tightly packed with descriptions of failures and shortfalls affecting the safety and effectiveness of our Navy’s biggest ships that it is exceptional in a long line of insightful reports. Only the ANAO’s 2023 report on the Hunter frigate scandal comes close in my memory. 

The audit’s most damning section is a short one.  It’s ‘Appendix 2: Improvements observed by the ANAO’ (grammatically correct as it did find two): “During the course of the audit the ANAO observed Defence update Navy’s Materiel Sustainment Agreement (MSA) with the Capability Acquisition and Sustainment Group and establish an interim MSA with the Naval Shipbuilding and Sustainment Group.” That’s it, set against 100 pages of disarray.

A benchmark for actual disclosure and improvement

Without the ANAO, we would hear nothing about these long standing, persistent deep institutional problems and the poor use of billions of dollars of scarce taxpayer money by Defence and the companies it has contracted to sustain the ships under its authority and oversight.

Instead, we would have the responsible ministers expressing their full confidence in the professionalism and competence of senior Defence leadership and claiming they can provide no information because of operational or security concerns. A sprinkling of claims of commercial in confidence matters would close the information tap completely.  

So the ANAO report shows what the public can know when a government organisation understands its obligation to inform the public about its work and is not focused mainly on avoiding embarrassment by revealing shortcomings. Instead, disclosure means problems can be addressed and prevented. 

It sets a standard for disclosure that Defence can – and should be required by its Ministers – to meet.

The 2011 Rizzo Report into Defence’s earlier failures in amphibious ship maintenance shows the current troubles are longstanding.

Everything that was bad in 2011 remains bad in 2025

Beyond the reams of detail set out by the ANAO about how Defence, the Navy and the companies they contract are failing in ways that affect mission success when Navy ships are deployed by the Government, there is a wider and deeper issue.

This same class of Navy ships – the amphibious class – has experienced the same systemic mismanagement and failure of technical and leadership capacity before, just over 14 years ago.  Back then, the then Chief of Navy sent a brief note to the Minister for Defence in the lead up to Christmas to let him know that none of the Navy’s three amphibious ships were in a state for them to be available for disaster relief operations over the peak cyclone season Australia and the South Pacific were just entering. 

This brief note did not leave the then Minister expressing full confidence in Defence and its leadership. It triggered a forensic external inquiry into the state of the Navy’s technical workforce, contractual arrangements for ship repair and maintenance and basic approach to ensuring its fleet was seaworthy – the Rizzo review that reported in 2011.  It also led to that Minister directing Defence to urgently buy a new large amphibious ship, HMAS Choules, so that the Navy could actually do what the Government had thought it already could.

So, it’s beyond disturbing that the same issues are back again, joined by new ones – and they have been present for the entire ten year service life of our two biggest Navy ships to date.

Implications for the Defence institution

The obvious question is how the poor management of government resources – money, people, material and time – that is laid out in such stark detail at such length could be isolated to just the Navy’s big amphibious ships. 

The same people and processes are used across the whole of Defence and each of the three Services – with some exceptions like the Air Force’s superior approach to airworthiness.  And it is these people, using these flawed process, without a clear line of sight to real world outcomes who are responsible for equipping the young men and women on the frontline of our nation’s defence with what they need to ensure our security.

Deputy Prime Minister (and also Defence Minister) Richard Marles with current Australian Submarine Agency head, Jonathan Mead. Image: Defence.

Implications for AUKUS and Australia’s capacity for ‘nuclear stewardship’

I wonder how a forensic technical report by an outfit like the ANAO – or a highly reputable figure with experience from the corporate world like Paul Rizzo – into the workings of the new but troubled Australian Submarine Agency (ASA) would compare to the ASA review commissioned by Richard Marles. Maybe we are now in Royal Commission territory given what’s at stake.

These paths would probably be quite different to the kind of review we might expect a former Mandarin with highly developed political antennae like Dennis Richardson to produce in the hot house environment created by the US review of AUKUS.  When the ASA review is released publicly by Richard Marles we may find out…..

I also wonder if the Pentagon has noticed this ANAO review of how our Navy manages large surface ships and is drawing any conclusions about what this might mean for Australia’s capacity to be effective stewards and managers of nuclear powered submarines.

The builder of the UK’s submarines, BAE, has described nuclear-powered submarines as more complex than the US space shuttle – so they will require the highest levels of competence and technical skill to operate and maintain.  That requires a much higher benchmark from our Navy and Defence than it’s setting with the amphibious ships.

Richard Marles is right three years into his leadership of the Defence portfolio to now begin to focus on the quality of how our defence institution and its senior leaders spend $59 billion of our public money annually in providing for our nation’s defence. 

He should start by reading this ANAO report, then calling the Chief of Navy – and finding another Paul Rizzo or a Royal Commissioner like Justice Hope.

This article was first published on Sky News.

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