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Australia’s defence: Trump will notice our grand words aren’t matched by actions

Australia’s defence: Trump will notice our grand words aren’t matched by actions

by Michael Shoebridge | Nov 13, 2024 | AUKUS, Defence Budget, Strategy & Capability

Many people are saying many things about what a second Donald Trump term in the White House might look like.  It’s a mug’s game to speculate in areas where we can’t know much. However, on defence budgets and Trump’s expectations for even the closest of US allies,...
PM’s secret think tank review: minimising discomfort for ministers & mandarins?

PM’s secret think tank review: minimising discomfort for ministers & mandarins?

by Michael Shoebridge | Nov 12, 2024 | China, Policy

It’s time for the government to spill a secret: whatever happened to its ‘independent review’ of think tanks and universities, and what’s the future for any organisation looking for government funding to continue this work? Back in February, the government appointed...
Australian defence policy under a Trump world order

Australian defence policy under a Trump world order

by Lesley Seebeck | Nov 11, 2024 | AUKUS, China, Defence Budget, Policy, Strategy & Capability

Most commentary thus far has been on how the Australian government will handle a Trump Administration. More will emerge on the implications for Australia, from Trump’s tariff policies to the likely continued decoupling from China, and Trump’s transactional nature. As...
The Hulk is back, and he won’t like our defence weakness

The Hulk is back, and he won’t like our defence weakness

by Peter Jennings | Nov 7, 2024 | AUKUS, Defence Budget, Strategy & Capability

During the 2016 presidential election I wrote that the United States desperately needed Captain America but instead got the Incredible Hulk. Now the Hulk is back and even stronger. That’s because he – Donald Trump that is – won both houses of congress. Sequels are...
Reality Bites: Senate Estimates issues for Defence November 2024

Reality Bites: Senate Estimates issues for Defence November 2024

by Marcus Hellyer and Michael Shoebridge | Nov 5, 2024 | AUKUS, Defence Budget, Policy, Strategy & Capability

Questions for the 2024-25 Defence portfolio supplementary budget estimates hearings Senate estimates hearings will be held on the Defence portfolio on Wednesday 6 November. Here are some questions we at Strategic Analysis Australia would like to hear answers to....
Episode 28: Sub schedules on fire, Deterrence by Documentation & a guided weapons go slow

Episode 28: Sub schedules on fire, Deterrence by Documentation & a guided weapons go slow

by Marcus Hellyer and Michael Shoebridge | Nov 4, 2024 | AUKUS, Podcasts, Policy, Strategy & Capability

Episode 28: Sub schedules on fire, deterrence by d | RSS.com With a fire in the UK’s sub construction facility & US sub production slowing, the only good news is that predictions of delay are apparently ahead of schedule….Meanwhile, a new Guided...
Complacency & continuity in urgent times – Australia’s military power is stagnating

Complacency & continuity in urgent times – Australia’s military power is stagnating

by Marcus Hellyer | Nov 1, 2024 | Defence Budget, Strategy & Capability

As we head into election season, it’s worth reviewing how well the Albanese government has performed on defence. Has it succeeded in shaping the Australian Defence Force (ADF) for what both major parties agree is the most uncertain strategic environment since World...
Defence’s recycled autonomy announcements – fool me once, shame on you…

Defence’s recycled autonomy announcements – fool me once, shame on you…

by Michael Shoebridge | Oct 28, 2024 | AUKUS, Policy, Strategy & Capability

Last week Richard Marles and Pat Conroy trumpeted Exercise Autonomous Warrior 2024 as “AUKUS Pillar II in action’. Mr Marles told us that this year’s “Exercise Autonomous Warrior is an exciting and tangible demonstration of progress being made under AUKUS Pillar II”....
Episode 28: Sub schedules on fire, Deterrence by Documentation & a guided weapons go slow

Episode 27 – Gullible Goldfish, Ghost Fleets & a nasty bout of ‘enshittification’

by Marcus Hellyer and Michael Shoebridge | Oct 23, 2024 | Podcasts

Episode 27 – Gullible Goldfish, Ghost Fleets & a n | RSS.com The Grumpy Strategists analyse two big announcements – the $20bn Henderson shipbuilding precinct & a $7bn deal on missiles apparently wrangled by Delivery Minister Pat Conroy. They also...
What does a Canada-India spat mean for Australia?

What does a Canada-India spat mean for Australia?

by Anthony Bergin and Michael Shoebridge | Oct 21, 2024 | Indo Pacific, Policy

India and Canada are engaged in a growing political battle over foreign interference. It’s not some minor squabble and it has big implications for Australia domestically and in our relationship with New Delhi. India accuses Canada of harbouring Sikh separatists and...
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