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The 2025 Defence budget update: still sleeping walking to disaster

The 2025 Defence budget update: still sleeping walking to disaster

by Marcus Hellyer | Mar 5, 2025 | Defence Budget, Policy, Strategy & Capability, Uncategorized

The Government recently released the 2024-25 Portfolio Additional Estimates Statements (PAES) which are meant to report on how departments are going at delivering on the policy goals and spending plans set out in the Portfolio Budget Statements (PBS). This year’s...
Trump halting military support to Ukraine risks handing both a propaganda and a real victory to Putin

Trump halting military support to Ukraine risks handing both a propaganda and a real victory to Putin

by Michael Shoebridge | Mar 4, 2025 | Europe, Strategy & Capability, Ukraine

After the disastrous Oval Office meeting with Ukraine’s President, Volodymyr Zelensky, Donald Trump is pausing all military aid to Ukraine. This is apparently to force Mr Zelensky to do two things: apologise to President Trump for not being grateful enough for his...
The facts have changed. Has the Australian Government noticed?

The facts have changed. Has the Australian Government noticed?

by Marcus Hellyer | Mar 3, 2025 | AUKUS, China, Indo Pacific, Policy, Strategy & Capability

It’s important not to panic and to jump at ghosts and shadows. But when the facts change, a sane person changes their plans. Simply continuing down the same path while ignoring reality is as irresponsible as wildly panicking. And the facts have changed—the second...
China brings its tension & aggression in SE Asia into the peaceful South Pacific

China brings its tension & aggression in SE Asia into the peaceful South Pacific

by Michael Shoebridge | Feb 25, 2025 | China, Indo Pacific, Policy, South Pacific, Strategy & Capability

The Chinese military’s no-notice live firing between Australia and New Zealand is bringing deliberate and dangerous behaviour into our peaceful neighbourhood. Of course, China is telling everyone this is all good because it’s not illegal, but it’s odd to...
A stabilised relationship? Xi Jinping wants submission from Australia, not stability.

A stabilised relationship? Xi Jinping wants submission from Australia, not stability.

by Peter Jennings | Feb 22, 2025 | China, Strategy & Capability

Beijing uses its military forces to send what diplomats call “signals” or, in plainer language, threats and warnings. What messages does Xi Jinping want Australia to take from the imminent prospect of the Chinese navy firing missiles off our east coast? First,...
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