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China brings its tension & aggression in SE Asia into the peaceful South Pacific

China brings its tension & aggression in SE Asia into the peaceful South Pacific

by Michael Shoebridge | Feb 25, 2025 | China, Indo Pacific, Policy, South Pacific, Strategy & Capability

The Chinese military’s no-notice live firing between Australia and New Zealand is bringing deliberate and dangerous behaviour into our peaceful neighbourhood. Of course, China is telling everyone this is all good because it’s not illegal, but it’s odd to...
A stabilised relationship? Xi Jinping wants submission from Australia, not stability.

A stabilised relationship? Xi Jinping wants submission from Australia, not stability.

by Peter Jennings | Feb 22, 2025 | China, Strategy & Capability

Beijing uses its military forces to send what diplomats call “signals” or, in plainer language, threats and warnings. What messages does Xi Jinping want Australia to take from the imminent prospect of the Chinese navy firing missiles off our east coast? First,...
When Karens take power; building a hedge of frigates & missile maths

When Karens take power; building a hedge of frigates & missile maths

by Marcus Hellyer and Michael Shoebridge | Feb 14, 2025 | AUKUS, Podcasts

When Karens take power; building a hedge of frigat | RSS.com In Episode 32, the Grumpy Strategists apply science to the Australian government’s early engagement with the Trump Administration. Insights from prey species threatened by a predator help. They look at...
Australia is a coin toss away from a mass casualty attack

Australia is a coin toss away from a mass casualty attack

by Peter Jennings | Feb 4, 2025 | Policy, Uncategorized

A caravan packed with explosives is the means. A note in the vehicle with Jewish addresses including a synagogue is the motive. Taken together these facts tell me that there is a growing risk of a mass casualty attack in Australia, most likely directed against Jews....
The Varghese review: protecting business as usual by ensuring ‘contestability’ is just a fluffy lap dog

The Varghese review: protecting business as usual by ensuring ‘contestability’ is just a fluffy lap dog

by Marcus Hellyer | Jan 21, 2025 | AUKUS, Policy

Everybody says they want policy contestability because it tests ideas and can bring new insights and rigour to policy and decision making. But there’s one thing my years conducting contestability on Australia’s defence and strategic policy from positions inside and...
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